| Equities will gain, as the USD starts to weaken |
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Taking the entire picture into consideration is sometimes difficult to do. Knowing what relationships are playing out and when, can leave a lot of people wondering where to even begin. There’s an easy way to do it though. Keep in mind that the correlation of relationships tends to ebb and flow with time and relevance. The inverse relationship between the EUR/USD and the USD/CHF is a strong one that has a lot of potential. Often one will lead the other or one will find Resistance against appoint and then the other will find support at its next support area. Lately the correlation between the EUR/USD and the DJIA has been in play. As investors pull pack risk appetite they leave risky stocks and head to treasuries. This drives the USD higher, thereby lowering the EUR/USD pair. As investor begin taking on more risk they will leave the Treasury and got to Equities. There by weakening the USD and pushing the EUR/USD higher. Taking this into consideration in the last few days paid off as I spent time before high equity risk times on the sideline. There was bid speculation on the Geitner plan that didn’t come to fruition. Equities folded in the aftermath, leaving the EUR/USD vulnerable and attacking lows form the last few days. If the tests to the downside hold and equities gain over the next few days then, We can expect a supported EUR and a higher pair. It appears that the DJI will close slightly over it’s opening price today. The next event risk is tomorrow’s EZ data releases
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inverse relationship