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GBPCHF Daily Forex Analysis: Breaks Higher After Touching -.0150
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In yesterday's post I mentioned that some Consolidation should be seen to the top side in the coming days and weeks. Then over night the pair broke higher. So what can we expect now that it has started? Well, to start with, let’s get through today. I expect price to drop down, riding the top side of the longer top line drawn on the chart below. Then I expect price to lift higher towards the 1.6350 area. I have one BIG concern at this point. Although I really like a move back to 1.6473, that mark is a ways away. Volatility in this pair can take price on some pretty big swings as evidenced by Monday’s 365 point candle. A candle like that could easily take out the 1.6473 target without blinking.

Last night the SNB reiterated its stance on not allowing the CHF to appreciate too much, making the CHF bulls lighten up on their shorts for the pair. None the less, I would like to see a move to break the 1.6250 mark and will then start looking for longs on the pair. That mark was support before the complete route of the GBP took place Sunday during the Asian session. Few big moves during the Sunday Asian session hold. Proof is in the Bounce that followed that move.

A break below the shorter red line on the chart below may have me taking up shorts for a test of 1.6000. Hourly RSI(14) has just recently come off the 70 line so if a move to the bottom happens there is plenty of room for the indicator to aid the drop.

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